Poll: Goff has commanding lead over Banks, Brewer for Mayor.

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The first poll for the 2016 New Zealand local elections has revealed veteran Labour MP and former leader Phil Goff has a sizable lead over potential Right-wing mayoral candidates John Banks and Cameron Brewer.

John Banks, former National Party minister, ACT MP and Auckland City Mayor is the favourite for the Right polling at 8%.

Cameron Brewer, a Right-wing councilor, has support of 5% of enrolled voters and 3% of not-yet enrolled voters.

Maurice Williamson, generally viewed as a ‘middle of the road’ National MP is in a surprise third with support from up to 7% of Aucklanders.

Other plausible right-leaning candidates such as Affordable Auckland leader Stephen Berry and Michael Barnett have left the vote for the Right fractured.

Meanwhile less Centre-left candidates means Goff has a sizable lead, dwarfing his opponents with up to 23% support.

Undecided or non-committed voters is at 28%.

Support for incumbent Mayor Len Brown is on 5%, and Goff will not be drawn on whether or not he supports the Labour member as a Mayor.

Other left-leaning candidates such as Penny Hulse manage 4%, and veteran anti-corruption activist Penny Bright has 3% support. MANA Movement activist John Minto is on 2%.

Phil Goff:
Support among voters: 23%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 49%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 24%
John Banks:
Support among voters:  8%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 31%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 50%
Michael Barnett:
Support among voters:  5%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 33%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 26%
Penny Hulse:
Support among voters:  4%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 31%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 27%
Maurice Williamson:
Support among voters: 6%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 27%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 35%
Cameron Brewer:
Support among voters:  5%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 24%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 32%
Len Brown (Incumbent):
Support among voters:  5%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 19%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 56%
Penny Bright:
Support among voters:  3%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 36%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 19%
John Palino:
Support among voters:  2%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 16%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 45%
John Minto:
Support among voters:  2%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 16%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 50%
Stephen Berry:
Support among voters:  1%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 14%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 33%
Useifili Unasa:
Support among voters:  1%
Would consider voting for this candidate (all surveyed): 10%
Would definitely NOT vote for this candidate (all surveyed): 40%

If the election were held tomorrow, this Horizon poll of 500+ Auckland voters predicts Phil Goff would replace Len Brown as Mayor of Auckland.

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