New poll indicates Opposition has 4-point lead over National

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A new Roy Morgan poll shows an unexpected trip-up for Labour, but Andrew Little has never been in an easier position to form government.

The poll was taken in the aftermath of National’s humiliating by-election result and the Australian-NZ dollar parity excitement which ended anti-climatically.

Labour, who polled 31% in the previous Roy Morgan poll and the Colmar Brunton released on Sunday, are on 27.5%. Opposition allies, The Greens, have boosted their support to a strong 13.5%, meaning both Labour and The Greens are up since the election.

That lifts total Labour/Green support to 41% – up 7 points from September 2014 as the government’s failure to recognise the housing crisis and rural oppression became the central issues.

New Zealand First has also lifted off the back of the by-election win, securing an impressive 8.5%.

That gives the Opposition a comfortable 4 point lead with 49.5% to National’s 45.5%.

The added support of the Maori Party and ACT would lift the Government to 47.5%, and that is not enough to form government.

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