Poll: Labour lifts again, government confidence hits fresh low.


The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and Labour has soared an unprecedented 4 points to 30%; its highest rating, by far, since the 2014 election.

Some had dismissed TV3’s Reid-research poll as a fluke as it showed Labour on 29%, a 4 point lift on the 2014 election result.

But this poll reveals Labour’s trend is definitely heading upwards. Finally.

“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National falling to 49% (down 3% since January 5-18, 2015). Support for Prime Minister John Key’s Coalition partners has also fallen with the Maori Party 1.0% (down 0.5%), Act NZ 0% (down 1%) and United Future still on 0% (unchanged).

Support for the main opposition Labour Party is at 30% (up 4% – their highest level of support since July 2014) and also up for the Greens 12% (up 1%) while NZ First is 6% (unchanged). For the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1.5% (down 0.5%) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 0.5% (unchanged).”

Meanwhile confidence in the government has fallen to 55 points, down 12 in just one month.

This is most likely due to the government’s poor handling of the proposed SkyCity bailout deal.

The poll lifts a potential Labour/Greens outfit to 42% (up 7 since election), or a Lab/Green/NZF confidence and supply government to 48% (just 1 behind National).

New South Wales, election 2015:

Meanwhile in New South Wales the news is not so good for the Labor Party.

The Labor earthquake that hit Queensland has not been felt in the south, and the Liberal/National coalition leads Labor by a huge 55 to 45 margin.


New South Wales: Liberal/National 55%, Labor 45%.
Queensland: Liberal National 51.5%, Labor 48.5%.
Victoria: Liberal/National 45.5%, Labor 54.5%.
Western Australia: Liberal/National 50%, Labor 50%.
South Australia: Liberal/National 47%, Labor 53%.
Tasmania: Liberal/National 45.5%, Labor 54.5%.


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